Will Netanyahu succeed in investing in Trump's support?

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President Donald Trump's recent announcement of support for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the upcoming elections sparked a wide debate about the political and electoral repercussions of this move, and its position in Israel's internal balances and strategic relations with Washington. This move reflects a noticeable intersection between the partisan calculations of the Israeli right and the regional interests of the United States. In this context, a striking difference in Israeli political discourse towards foreign intervention emerges. While reservations and rejection were present towards the positions of the Joe Biden administration under the pretext of protecting the independence of decision-making and national sovereignty, Trump’s support was treated as strategic support from a close ally. Although this support gives Netanyahu's camp a moral boost in the face of opposition alliances and the results of opinion polls, it raises parallel questions among segments of voters about the extent to which the domestic political track is dependent on the fluctuations of American policy. On the other hand, field data indicate that the priorities of the Israeli voter are often determined through complex internal and security files that go beyond external support. Public opinion remains preoccupied with the consequences of the events of October 7, the repercussions of the ongoing military operations, the depletion of reserve forces, and the raging political and social controversy over the recruitment of religious people, in addition to the economic pressures represented by the high cost of living and the increasing diplomatic challenges. From Washington’s side, the American approach is based on purely pragmatic calculations, as it seeks to secure a political partner that is consistent with its priorities in managing the Iranian file and avoiding widespread regional escalation. This requiresThe arrangements often include a more stable Israeli leadership capable of containing extremist elements in the ruling coalition, such as those represented by far-right ministers, which explains why Tel Aviv recently took security and legal measures against some extremist settlers in response to Washington’s demands. The electoral scene remains open to multiple possibilities; The success of this step depends on Netanyahu’s ability to translate American support into decisive voting gains, in exchange for the political entitlements and concessions that may result from it that may affect the cohesion of his government coalition and his party base in the near term.